Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Shanghai Composite Views!!!

4 comments:

Piyush Sharda said...

Manoj sir,

Today also I observed it worked. If a day trader can get a system which works 70% and in the rest 30% opposite trades work with 90% probability what more can he ask. A day trader cant do much analysis especially in this case where he has to put his trades in 1st 5 min. in additionif he keeps 0.8-1 as target he might get a guud success rate. If open=high short for 0.8% if open = low long for o.8%. 70-80% success can give u decent returns.

Now problem is opening price is usually different in charting packages. Few ppl ignore few ticks to get opening price. How shud this be incorporated.?? I don’t know pls show some direction.

We shud try this with equity or future?

I guess researching this will have its reward but the doubt regarding opening price is lingering. Pls enlighten

Tryin2Trade said...

Piyush Hi...

Damn I am impressed by the statistics you have come up with...

Ok first things first....you can take prices from NSE site...

Secondly.....I am not a huge fan of day trading...in fact to admit. I was a complete fiasco.....looser...maybe thats because, I am not made up for all those intra day gyrations...this might give me ulcers someday :-( !

You can try them both in equity and futures!!!

Cheers!

Piyush Sharda said...

manoj sir

The problem is I did not know anything earlier. I used to take prices frm my trading software ‘now’. Later on found ilango sir ignoring few ticks. Even they used to say that nse punches few orders it the start.that is why we do not see gaps in nse data. How do we incorporate this.do they do this in futures too or all futures data is actual trading. Like yesterday(14 may) nifty open and low at the start was 5165 one cud make 15 points on upside easily. 2nd principle if it reverses it reverses by good margin. Everybody knows what happened in afternoon.

If failed in equity (icici bank) one day prices broke o/h just by rsi o/h taken frm now and not website

Planning to make a marketwatch for selected scrips to watch o/h and o/l in 1st few min of trading and later on analyse behaviour.

Another advise required if possible. I used 2652 method of daytrading which trades on breakout. 1st 15 min range is taken and previous day’s range is multiplied by 0.466, o.733 and 1.333, whichever pdr is just greater we buy/sell that break with small profit and sl. It gives 60% accuracy, is there any method which coming to ur mind to improve the system. Here profit is smaller than sl so 60% accuracy doesn’t make money it is just breakeven. But I read this system giving 85% accuracy for some I trade in dlf, tatamotors, tatasteel and icicibank for it. As u r experiences can u suggest something that can make this system work better

Tryin2Trade said...

Piyush...

Once again I am NOT the right person to advise you on intra/day trading..

2652 method...pardon my ignorance but I am not aware of it...

Any method which gives you 60% accuracy and you follow it with 100% discipline is a WINNER!!!!

Remember we dont have any control over what the market can give us...yet we have full control over what market can take from us....and the GOD of TRADING is your STOP!!!!....

Stops let you decide how much you are willing to relinquish......

Follow whatever trading style that suits your temperament...

But follow it....and follow it with all conviction....

Cheers!!!